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Managerial Foresight
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Managerial Foresight

 

   

While it’s impossible to forecast the future, it is possible to make a series of opinions about the future, and test these opinions against future scenarios that are grounded in an understanding of emerging and converging industry trends. Without a creative view of the future, companies are limited by the strategies and opportunities of the past.

 

 

  Managerial Foresight is a critical capability for innovation - i.e., the ability to gain a deeper understanding than competitors of the trends and discontinuities – technological, demographic, regulatory, lifestyle – that could be used to transform and create new competitive space.

Organizations that possess Managerial Foresight are better positioned to establish a strategy that leverages future trends – and even helps define them – to create a leadership position in the marketplace .

Gaining and applying Managerial Foresight is a continuous activity that requires an organization to:

  • Engage in processes that define an explicit linkage between the evolving external environment, potential growth opportunities, and business strategies/tactics.
  • Create an ongoing capability for tracking and quickly responding to positive or potentially detrimental changes in the competitive business environment.
  • View “Opportunity Planning” as an ongoing process, rather than as an annual event, such as “Strategic Planning”.

As stated by CK Prahalad and Gary Hamel in their seminal book Competing for the Future: "There is not one future but hundreds. Getting to the future first is not just about outrunning competitors bent on reaching the same prize. It is also about having one's view of what the prize is. There can be as many prizes as runners; imagination is the only limiting factor. In business, as in art, what distinguishes leaders from laggards, and greatness from mediocrity, is the ability to uniquely imagine what could be".

Managerial Foresight is about finding the future first. It is about competing to create and dominate emerging opportunities - to stake out new competitive space. Finding the future first is more challenging than playing catch up, in that you have to create your own road map. The goal is to develop an independent point of view about tomorrow's opportunities and how to exploit them. Path breaking is a lot more rewarding than benchmarking. One doesn't get to the future first by letting someone else blaze the trail.

 
       
 
 
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